Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.875058 2.159953 2.467691 2.824080 3.224681 3.660290 4.169021
2024-10-13 1.438884 1.834200 2.298886 2.882053 3.590664 4.419892 5.459492
2024-10-20 1.102587 1.541059 2.097081 2.845865 3.818694 5.029695 6.639594
2024-10-27 0.899817 1.365198 1.996088 2.899081 4.140768 5.768177 8.038335
2024-11-03 0.746428 1.220939 1.904341 2.937098 4.429717 6.475111 9.448004
2024-11-10 0.620486 1.089281 1.803543 2.938012 4.653028 7.098364 10.783640
2024-11-17 0.512148 0.962493 1.686499 2.891560 4.790936 7.599614 11.974054
2024-11-24 0.423059 0.849348 1.570927 2.826385 4.883960 8.030860 13.082146
2024-12-01 0.364783 0.778252 1.511796 2.840043 5.093886 8.644903 14.497170
2024-12-08 0.311384 0.705633 1.438143 2.816975 5.236150 9.157103 15.782242
2024-12-15 0.279571 0.668732 1.422078 2.889306 5.539538 9.941253 17.539494
2024-12-22 0.246302 0.622415 1.381226 2.910201 5.752494 10.587717 19.110100
2024-12-29 0.228706 0.608195 1.403531 3.056579 6.210451 11.692469 21.536403
2025-01-05 0.207313 0.581631 1.397848 3.149432 6.581357 12.678579 23.835076
2025-01-12 0.178609 0.531836 1.336450 3.124443 6.729913 13.287663 25.530183
2025-01-19 0.160690 0.504897 1.320203 3.188823 7.053262 14.227485 27.856204
2025-01-26 0.143653 0.476476 1.296186 3.233244 7.339799 15.117369 30.144147
2025-02-02 0.126285 0.443102 1.255373 3.235673 7.540587 15.859325 32.205853
2025-02-09 0.108510 0.404133 1.194731 3.185781 7.627632 16.389685 33.907069
2025-02-16 0.092339 0.365704 1.128934 3.115129 7.662646 16.819035 35.440376
2025-02-23 0.082077 0.343348 1.101040 3.130137 7.881614 17.619321 37.715420
2025-03-02 0.071597 0.317356 1.058990 3.105083 8.008841 18.242467 39.680530
2025-03-09 0.066012 0.307061 1.058777 3.183861 8.374009 19.365392 42.670389